golf longshots this week
And which golfer in the Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 field could bring a massive payday of well over 80-1? Instead, McDonald is jumping on several severalunderdogs, including two MASSIVE longshots of well over 80-1! RELATED: Want to become a better golf bettor? Weve been on a heater in the matchup and top-10 markets, going up more than 27 units this season. Hes made it through the cut in each trip to TPC Scottsdale, highlighted by a T17 in 2021. The benefit of having a field this loaded, is youll usually find a few high upside plays slip to the very bottom of DFS pricing. He lost three strokes on approach at Riviera, a trend that has become more common for him than in any other point in his career. READ MORE: Which college basketball teams are bettors cashing in on? That continues a streak that started with Brandon Gdula correctly predicting Scottie Schefflers win at the WM Phoenix Open (13-1) and Rick Gehman hitting Jon Rahm at the Genesis Invitational (+750). If youve been reading this column over the past month or so, youve been cashing tickets. Were always looking for courses which wont require the winner to breach 20 under, and Bay Hill certainly qualifies. Follow him on Twitter: @RickRunGood. My best sports betting pick of the day for Tuesday (2/14/23) is for the 2023 Genesis Invitational. 1 Scottie Scheffler is tied for second with No. Mayakoba: Viktor Hovland. >. Should he pull off a victory, he could turn a $10 bet into $550. Its a good number if nothing else. Zozo: Hideki Matsuyama. managing editor: Will Zalatoris (22-1, DraftKings) This is inching toward a community bet, and golf betting isnt that easy. Zozo: Hideki Matsuyama. Adam Scott has a stellar career record at the Genesis Invitational. The 2014 FedEx Cup champion has long odds this week to the tune of +10000 to win. And while hes only played in two PGA Tour events this season (29th at the Sentry Tournament of Champions and T21 at the Sony Open), Scott had a solid year last season, missing only two cuts in 20 tries and collecting five top-10s, four of which were top-5s. Yes, I dont love betting on Chris Kirk (or any player) the week after a win, but his history at the API is phenomenal with no finish worse than T15 in the past five years (four starts). 1 Jon Rahm leads a stacked field that includes 23 of the top 25 players in the Official World Golf Ranking. Rory McIlroy has become a horse at The Kings place, finishing 13th or better in seven of eight appearances. 5 Second Chance Bets up to $50. McIlroy vs. Scheffler, a loaded LPGA field and more to watch in golf this week. 9 this week. At Bay Hill, course history has proven more repeatable than just about any other course on the PGA TOUR schedule. Gdula: Sungjae Im (-108) over Tyrrell Hatton (FanDuel) Both have played well at Bay Hill, and the long-term tee-to-green data favors Im, so thats where Im going. Phone (s): (541) 454-2000. Something clearly clicked for him at Riviera, and this is the number to cash in on. Mayakoba: Thomas Detry. Based on the odds, lets look at some golf and he won the 2022 BMW PGA Championship over Rory McIlroy and Jon Rahm, who both happen to be in the field this week. Skip to main content. Since the start of the season, hes gaining 1.86 strokes per roundthird to only Jon Rahm and Scottie Scheffler. THE MATERIAL ON THIS SITE MAY NOT BE REPRODUCED, DISTRIBUTED, TRANSMITTED, CACHED OR OTHERWISE USED, EXCEPT WITH THE PRIOR WRITTEN PERMISSION OF DISCOVERY GOLF, INC. 2023 DISCOVERY GOLF, INC. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED, Arnold Palmer Invitational picks 2023: Our red-hot experts make a consensus bet, thanks to Christopher Powers 30-1 win on Chris Kirk last week, Arnold Palmer's Bay Hill Club & Lodge: Challenger/Champion, create the golf stats and research website Fantasy National. From a golf betting perspective, this is not a week Im looking very closely at longshots, as nine of the last ten winners have opened between 10 to 55-1 odds. A match play major for men and women makes perfect sense for the good of the game, on so many levels. But, the combination of trending tee-to-green play and elite course history make him a very appealing salary saver option on DraftKings this week. Sanderson Farms Championship: Denny McCarthy. Weve been on a heater in the matchup and top-10 markets, going up more than 27 units this season. Scottie Scheffler looks to defend his title at Bay Hill and is searching for his second win of 2023. One and Done Pick for Arnold Palmer Invitational: Jon Rahm. Rick Gehman, data scientist and RickRunGood.com founder: Will Zalatoris (22-1, DraftKings) For the first time this year, Zalatoris looks like himself again. But its easy to see why we all like Z this week. Check out our betting preview for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational at Bay Hill. Hopefully its one of his hot weeks. His 27 FSWA nominations lead all writers this decade and are second-most all-time. Mayo: Tommy Fleetwood (+105) over Cameron Young (DraftKings) Fleetwood has a long history of success at Bay Hill and while Cam Young looked good in his first start at API, hes been one of the worst-performing wind players in the field. The Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 field features 44 of the world's top 50 golfers, and they are in for a difficult test. Full Leaderboard . There is no one way to attack TPC Scottsdale, however a profile of elite ball striking has been the common thread amongst contenders here over the years. Lets get to our 2023 WM Phoenix Open longshots and sleepers for your DFS lineups and betting cards. Shriners: Taylor Montgomery. Bay Hill presents a long and stern test from tee to green. Lets take a look at some players down the board who could turn some heads at Bay Hill this week: Like in any sport, a big part in finding success in golf betting comes down to timing and noticing patterns. Big South Tournament Odds: UNC Asheville, Longwood Knotted Atop Betting Market. The PGA Tour board on Tuesday night ratified a radical new approach for the 2024 schedule, Golfweek has confirmed. McDonald NAILED the Farmers Insurance Open, backing Homa (25-1) as his top choice! After missing the cut at the WM Phoenix Open, Tommy Fleetwood tied for 20th at the Genesis Invitational in his last start. Andy Lack is a PGA Tour writer and podcaster from New York City who now resides in Los Angeles. The 37-year-old earned his fifth PGA Tour win and first since 2015 at the 2023 Honda Classic on Sunday after beating rookie Eric Cole in a playoff at PGA National in Palm Beach Gardens, Florida. He came to Golf Digests betting panel after previously writing for Golf.com, the Score and GolfWRX. Sara, Drew, the NBC Sports EDGE crew and special guests will provide listeners with unique statistical data, trends and pro AT&T Pebble Beach: Seamus Power. That makes Scrambling and Bogey Avoidance of premium importance. Gehman: Justin Thomas (20-1, Bet365) There are more questions than answers in Thomas game right now as he continues to show inconsistencies with his best attributehis approach play. Genesis: Justin Thomas. Andy Lack, RickRunGood.com and Inside Golf podcast: Will Zalatoris (22-1, DraftKings) Zalatoris answered the lingering injury questions with a fourth-place finish at Riviera, where he gained 3.9 strokes off the tee, four strokes on approach, 2.4 strokes around the green and 2.4 strokes putting. Arnold Palmer Invitational: Shane Lowry, Tommy Fleetwood among top long-shot plays at this weeks PGA Tour stop Check out our betting preview for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational at Bay Hill. Follow him on Twitter: @gdula13. Scroll down to see who we like this week at the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational. With the Phoenix Open open complete, the stars of the PGA Tour head to Riviera Country Club in Los Angeles this week for the 2023 Genesis Invitational, where Caddie: Cameron Young (+360, DraftKings) As I said above, the course fits what he does well, and these are nice odds for someone who top-10s it a bunch (not this year, which is why its nearly 4-to-1. World No. Before you lock in any 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational picks, make sure you check out the PGA Tour predictions and best bets from golf insider Patrick McDonald. It will be the final major of 2021 and the last of the six comprising the 2020-21 PGA Tour Hes never played API, but hes been especially potent on Bermudagrass in his short career. Obviously, we still have the 90/1 Luke List winner to fall back on. MLB Odds: Braves 2B Ozzie Albies A Most Hits Longshot Candidate? Bet with your head, not over it. Gdula also co-hosts the DFS Heat Check podcast. Designed by John Steidel, China Creek Golf Course measures 2627 Breaking down the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational picks for this week at Bay Hill with our best bets, One and Done selection and more PGA Tour expert picks. by Mastercard. No Sweat First Bet up to $1,000. The 2022 tournament, the 86th edition, starts on Thursday 7th April and will conclude on Sunday 10th April. One of these golfers "has been experiencing a massive resurgence," the expert says, and this course is right up his alley. Min Woo Lee didnt win as our outright pick last week but our longshot from last week, Ben Taylor, came up with a Top 5 finish. Kim has already shown flashes of greatness in his career, so dont be afraid to back the 20-year-old at a number like this even in a dynamite field. Genesis: Justin Thomas. Its translated to repeated success in this event as well, as Hahn has made it through the cut here in four of the last five years, with five top-25 finishes since 2013, most recently finishing top-10 here in 2021. Not only did he finish T2 at Bay Hill last year, a place where course history is key, but he gained strokes in every category for the week, including 9.18 ball striking. A good way to hedge that is by employing him in OAD. At He is up more than 20 units this season, meaning a profit of more than $2,000 for $100 bettors! Anonymous Caddie Picker of the week: Rory McIlroy (10-1, BetMGM) Im not sure how we ended up here after his insane 2022, but at the end of February Rorys already the forgotten man. RSM Classic: Brian Harman. >. Add in Gdula and Stephen Hennesseys Tony Finau (16-1) winner at the Houston Open in the Fall and that gives the panel four outright hits on the 2022-23 season. Weve been on a heater in the matchup and top-10 markets, going up more than 27 units this season. 2 Rory McIlroy at +1000. Prior to that debacle, Bradley has five top-25 finishes in his previous seven startsincluding a win at the ZOZO Championship. Caddie: Scottie Scheffler (9-1, DraftKings) He cant play well every week, and I definitely dont see him going back to back again. Keegan Bradley a sleeper no more? Golfweek - Adam Woodard 19h It pays to play well on the PGA Tour, just ask this weeks winner, Chris Kirk. The MC at Riviera was mainly due to his short game. Final DraftKings Picks PGA DFS Lineups - The Honda Classic Invitational Daily Fantasy Golf Advice (Premium Content) LIV Golf Betting Picks - 2023 Mayakoba. Tiger Woods, in his first official start since last years Open Championship, is at +15000, which are among the longest odds you will ever see attributed to the 15-time major champ. Justin Thomas enters play in the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard at Bay Hill Club & Lodge with +2500 odds to win after a 20th-place He won this event in 2016 and has four top-25s in his past six trips. Now lets dig into some longshots. Note: prices listed I was tempted to play Gary Woodland at +12500 in the PGA Championship The 4th elevated event on the PGA Tour schedule takes place this week with the star-studded 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational. | RoboTest, Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard. Im going all in on the course horses this week, especially those at a discount. Stats pulled across Last 24 Rounds unless otherwise noted. Hes just six starts removed from gaining nearly six strokes to the field on approach in Houston, and if he has anywhere close to that result with his elite off-the-tee game, plus his prowess on grainy Bermuda greens, he can absolutely follow Chris Kirk as back-to-back Georgia Bulldog victories. His consistent ball striking and history in these conditions make for a high floor and solid placement consideration this week. Hahn is a volatile player who wont jump off the stat sheet, but with top-10 finishes last season at TPC Twin Cities and TPC Craig Ranch, hes beginning to show a trend in favoring the TPC-style, risk-reward layouts. The list of top performers at the Arnold Palmer Invitational reads like a list of major champions and annual major contenders. That combination served him fairly well in his 2022 debut where he finished T42. As the elevated events have proven thus far in 2023, these loaded fields do not bode well for the outright prospects of longshots. Gilliam County. ESPN+. Bermuda: Denny McCarthy. These are the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational picks and best bets for what should be a great week at Bay Hill. Earlier this week, I previewed the PGA Championship focusing on three of the favorites at Southern Hills. In just his second year on TOUR, Pendrith has already accumulated 13 top-25 finishes, which span across comp courses like PGA National, Winged Foot and Torrey Pines. The PGA Tour's best will be back at it this week at Bay Hill Club & Lodge near Orlando, Fla., for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational. For us this week, that man is Adam Scott. Getting cheeky with these parlays hasnt been profitable but this one feels too good to pass up. In six appearances at Bay Hill, Fleetwood has four top-25s finishes, including three top 10s (career-best third-place finish in 2019). BetMGM Announces Responsible Gaming Advertising Strategy, Ohio Sports Betting Promos: Illinois Fighting Illini at OSU Buckeyes Odds. Speaking of patterns, how about the prices on Lowry lately? Lack: Hideki Matsuyama (66-1, BetMGM) This is a pure number play for me, as in my opinion, Hideki Matsuyama is a bonafide top-20 player in the world, despite the betting markets not treating him like one. Were getting value based on Rorys slow start on the West Coast, which was mainly short-game induced. For the third time in four weeks, all of the PGA TOURs best have assembled for an elevated event, this time in Orlando for the 2023Arnold Palmer Invitationalat Bay Hill. Join SportsLine right now to see Patrick McDonald's top picks for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational, all from the expert up more than $2,000 for the 2022-23 season, and find out! Amongst the options at $7K or below this week, Putnam would have to be my choice as the safest bet to find the weekend in Scottsdale. Top-10 results from the Honda Classic: Mayo: 1 for 1 (Eric Cole +900); Hennessey: 1 for 1 (Chris Kirk +330); Everybody else: 0 for 1, Top-10 results from this season: Gdula: 7 for 17 (up 17.6 units); Mayo: 6 for 16 (up 12.1 units); Gehman: 5 for 17 (up 9.55 units); Lack: 3 for 8 (up 2.9 units); Hennessey: 4 for 17 (up 2.85 units); Powers: 2 for 17 (down 8.9 units); Caddie: 2 for 17 (down 8.95 units). Zozo: Sungjae Im. No, he is not a tout. Recent history says a star will win this weekend, but that doesnt mean we cant take a look at three sleepers with a chance to pull an upset. Theres been an interesting trend at the API over the past few years. From Golf Digest Architecture Editor emeritus Ron Whitten: I've always been fascinated by the design of Bay Hill, Arnold Palmer's home course for over 45 years (although Tiger Woods owns it, competitively-speaking, as he's won there eight times.) 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